Model Accuracy

2024/25 season backtest — model run retrospectively against historical odds + results

Acca types

Aug 26

Live tracking starts

Oct 26

First verified figures

Seasons in historical backtest

—

Tracked profit (pending)

1,484

Matches per season

Verified ROI figures will populate from the 2026/27 season's live tracking — the first meaningful sample lands after roughly 8 weeks of fixtures (≈October 2026). The 2024/25 single-season backtest figures previously shown on this page (Value 4 at +138%, BTTS accas around +47–99% etc.) over-stated the strategies when re-checked against 12 seasons of historical data — Value 4's true multi-season mean is closer to +4%, the BTTS accas are flat-to-negative, and only Lucky 3 / 10/1 / Away x2 / Away Double come out reliably positive. Rather than show partially-trustworthy numbers, we've pulled them until live-tracked data is in. Past performance does not predict future results.

Acca win rates

How often each acca hits

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Season performance charts

2024/25 in pictures

Five charts built from the 2024/25 backtest — the same retrospective model run that produced the figures above.

Acca win rates — bar chart showing hit rate per acca type

Win rates — how often each acca landed

Acca ROI — bar chart showing return on investment per acca type

ROI — all 6 acca types finished in profit

Win rate vs ROI dashboard — grouped bars per acca type

Dashboard — win rate vs ROI side by side

£10 per acca per week — staked vs returned

£10/acca/week — staked vs returned per type

Cumulative profit and loss over the 2024/25 season

Season P/L — cumulative profit over the gameweek season

All figures from the 2024/25 English football season (Premier League, Championship, League One). Tracked automatically by the Matchpredix worker — not manually curated or cherry-picked.

See this week's predictions →